Bayesian Econometrics

Bayesian Econometrics plays an important role in quantitative economics, marketing research and finance. This course discusses the basic tools which are needed to perform Bayesian analyses. It starts with a discussion on the difference between Bayesian and frequentist statistical approach. Next, Bayesian parameter estimation, forecasting and Bayesian testing is considered, where we deal with univariate models, multivariate models and panel data models (Hierarchical Bayes techniques). To perform a Bayesian analysis, knowledge of advanced simulation methods is necessary. Part of the course is devoted to Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling methods including Gibbs sampling, data augmentation and Monte Carlo integration. The topics are illustrated using simple computer examples which are demonstrated during the lectures.