15-095/III - What Do Professional Forecasters Actually Predict?
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AuthorsDidier Nibbering, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands; Richard Paap, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands; Michel van der Wel, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands
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Publication dateAugust 7, 2015
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Keywordsforecast evaluation, Survey of Professional Forecasters, expert forecast, trend-cycle decomposition, state space modeling, Baxter-King filter