296 Key Publications

• Karstanje, D., Sojli, E., Tham, W. and van der Wel, M. (2013). Economic Valuation of Liquidity Timing Journal of Banking and Finance, 37(12):5073--5087.

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  Pesaran, M., Pick, A. and Pranovich, M. (2013). Optimal Forecasts in the Presence of Structural Breaks Journal of Econometrics, 177(2):134--152.

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  Creal, D., Koopman, S. and Lucas, A. (2013). General Autoregressive Score Models with Applications Journal of Applied Econometrics, 28(5):777--795.

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  Groen, J.(., Paap, R. and Ravazzolo, F. (2013). Real-time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 31(1):29--44.

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  Guggenberger, P., Kleibergen, F., Mavroeidis, S. and Chen, L. (2012). On the asymptotic sizes of subset Anderson-Rubin and Lagrange multiplier tests in linear instrumental variables regression Econometrica, 80(6):2649--2666.

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  Boswijk, H. and Klaassen, F. (2012). Why frequency matters for unit root testing in financial time series Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 30(3):351--357.

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  Koopman, S., Lucas, A. and Schwaab, B. (2012). Dynamic Factor Models With Macro, Frailty and Industry Effects for U.S. Default Counts: The Credit Crisis of 2008 Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 30(4):521--532.

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  Geweke, J., Koop, G. and Paap, R. (2012). Editorial Introduction for the Annals Issue of the Journal of Econometrics on Bayesian Models, Methods and Applications Journal of Econometrics, 171(2):99--100.

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  Fok, D., Paap, R. and van Dijk, A. (2010). A Rank-Ordered Logit Model with Unobserved Heterogeneity in Ranking Capabilities Journal of Applied Econometrics, 27(5):831--846.
• Santos, A., Nogales, F., Ruiz, E. and van Dijk, D. (2012). Optimal portfolios with minimum capital requirements Journal of Banking and Finance, 36(7):1928--1942.

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  Pesaran, H. and Pick, A. (2011). Forecast combination across estimation windows Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 29(2):307--318.

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  Pesaran, H., Pick, A. and Timmermann, A. (2011). Variable selection, estimation and inference for multi-period forecasting problems Journal of Econometrics, 164(1):173--187.
• Bernoth, K. and Pick, A. (2011). Forecasting the fragility of the banking and insurance sector Journal of Banking and Finance, 35(4):807--818.

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  Beauchamp, J., Cesarini, D., Johannesson, M., van der Loos, M.(., Koellinger, P., Groenen, P., Fowler, J., Rosenquist, J., Thurik, R. and Christakis, N. (2011). Molecular genetics and economics Journal of Economic Perspectives, 25(4):57--82.

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  Cai, J.J., Einmahl, JohnH.J. and De Haan, L. (2011). Estimation of extreme risk regions under multivariate regular variation Annals of Statistics, 39(3):1803--1826.

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  Diks, C., Panchenko, V. and van Dijk, D. (2011). Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Comparing Density Forecast in Tails Journal of Econometrics, 163(2):215--230.

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  Koopman, S., Lucas, A. and Schwaab, B. (2011). Modeling frailty correlated defaults using many macroeconomic covariates Journal of Econometrics, 162(2):312--325.

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  Creal, D., Koopman, S. and Lucas, A. (2011). A dynamic multivariate heavy-tailed model for time-varying volatilities and correlations Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 29(4):552--563.

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  Boswijk, H. and van der Weide, R. (2011). Method of moments estimation of GO-GARCH models Journal of Econometrics, 163(1):118--126.

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  Koopman, S. and Creal, D. (2010). Extracting a robust U.S. business cycle using a time-varying multivariate model-based bandpass filter Journal of Applied Econometrics, 25:695--719.