1073 Key Publications

• Gresnigt, F., Kole, E. and Franses, P.H. (2015). Interpreting financial market crashes as earthquakes: A new early warning system for medium term crashes Journal of Banking and Finance, 56:123--139.

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  Limwattananon, S., Neelsen, S., O'Donnell, O., Prakongsai, P., Tangcharoensathien, V., van Doorslaer, E. and Vongmongkol, V. (2014). Universal coverage with supply-side reform: The impact on medical expenditure risk and utilization in Thailand Journal of Public Economics, 121(January):79--94.

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  Noussair, C.(., van Soest, D. and Stoop, J. (2015). Cooperation in a Dynamic Fishing Game: A Framed Field Experiment (AER: Papers and Proceedings) American Economic Review, 105(5):1--7.

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  Swank, O. and Visser, B. (2015). Learning from others? Decision rights,strategic communication, and reputational concerns American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 7(4):109--149.

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  Koudijs, P. (2015). Those who know most: Insider trading in eighteenth-century Amsterdam Journal of Political Economy, 123(6):1356--1409.
• Blasques, F., Koopman, S. and Lucas, A. (2015). Information Theoretic Optimality of Observation Driven Time Series Models Biometrika, 102(2):325--343.

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  Buch, C., Buchholz, M. and Tonzer, L. (2015). Uncertainty, Bank Lending, and Bank-Level Heterogeneity IMF Economic Review, 63(4):919--954.

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  Cohn, A., Engelmann, J., Fehr, E. and Maréchal, M. (2015). Evidence for Countercyclical Risk Aversion: An Experiment with Financial Professionals American Economic Review, 105(2):860--885.
• Khadjavi, M. (2015). On the Interaction of Deterrence and Emotions Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, 31(2):287--319.

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  de Haan, M., Plug, E. and Rosero, J. (2014). Birth order and human capital development: evidence from Ecuador Journal of Human Resources, 49(2):359--392.

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  Onderstal, S., Schram, A. and Soetevent, A. (2014). Reprint of: Bidding to give in the field Journal of Public Economics, 114:87--100.

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  Kleibergen, F. and Mavroeidis, S. (2014). Identification issues in limited-information Bayesian analysis of structural macroeconomic models Journal of Applied Econometrics, 29(7):1183--1207.

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  Tol, RichardS.J. (2014). Correction and update: The economic effects of climate change Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(2):221--226.

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  Zu, Y. and Boswijk, H. (2014). Estimating spot volatility with high-frequency financial data Journal of Econometrics, 181(2):117--135.

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  Lucas, A., Schwaab, B. and Zhang, X. (2014). Conditional euro area sovereign default risk Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 32(2):271--284.

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  Wagener, F. (2014). Expectations in experiments Annual Review of Economics, 6:421--443.

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  Brandts, J., Reynolds, S. and Schram, A. (2014). Pivotal Suppliers and Market Power in Experimental Supply Function Competition Economic Journal, 124(579):887--916.
• Gubins, S. and Verhoef, E. (2014). Dynamic bottleneck congestion and residential land use in the monocentric city Journal of Urban Economics, 80(March):51--61.

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  Ju, Y., Chun, Y. and van den Brink, J.R. (2014). Auctioning and Selling Positions: A Noncooperative Approach to Queueing Conflicts Journal of Economic Theory, 153(September):33--45.

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  Creal, D., Schwaab, B., Koopman, S. and Lucas, A. (2014). Observation Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk Review of Economics and Statistics, 96(5):898--915.