Dirk Schindler's paper on tax hikes has been published in the Review of Finance

Abstract

This article studies how corporate tax hikes transmit across countries through multinationals’ internal networks of subsidiaries. We build a parsimonious multicountry model to highlight two opposing spillover effects: while tax competition between countries generates positive investment spillover, intra-firm production linkages predict negative spillover. Using subsidiary-level data and exogenous corporate tax hikes, we find that local business units cut investment by 0.5 percent for a 1 percent increase in foreign corporate tax. This result highlights the importance of production linkages in propagating foreign tax shocks, as the supply-chain-induced negative spillover dominates the positive spillover effect suggested by the conventional wisdom of tax competition.

Antonio De Vito, Martin Jacob, Dirk Schindler, and Guosong Xu, 'How do corporate tax hikes affect investment allocation within multinationals?, Review of Finance, Vol. 29, Issue 2, pp. 531–565, doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfaf006