43 Discussion Papers

• 25-045/III - A General Randomized Test for Alpha

  Authors: Daniele Massacci, King's College London; Lucio Sarno, University of Cambridge; Lorenzo Trapani, University of Pavia; Pierluigi Vallarino, Erasmus University Rotterdam

  Date: July 25, 2025

• 25-044/V - Reaching Marginalized Job Seekers through Public Employment Services: Experimental Evidence from Ethiopia

  Authors: Marc Witte, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Johanna Roth, Sciences Po; Morgan Hardy, New York University Abu Dhabi; Christian Meyer, University of Oxford

  Date: July 25, 2025

• 25-043/VI - Should Carbon taxes be Pre-announced? On Irreversible Investment, Real Options and Carbon Taxes

  Author: Sweder van Wijnbergen, University of Amsterdam

  Date: July 25, 2025

• 25-042/III - Matrix-Valued Spatial Autoregressions with Dynamic and Robust Heterogeneous Spillovers

  Authors: Yicong Lin, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; André Lucas, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Shiqi Ye, AMSS Center for Forecasting Science

  Date: July 04, 2025

• 25-041/III - Revisiting EWMA in High-Frequency Portfolio Optimization: A Comparative Assessment

  Authors: Laura Capera Romero, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Anne Opschoor, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: June 26, 2025

• 25-040/IV - Sinking Land, Sinking Prices? Land Subsidence, Flood Risk, and Property Prices

  Authors: Lukas Hofmann, University of Amserdam; Martijn Dröes, University of Amserdam; Marc Francke, University of Amserdam

  Date: June 26, 2025

• 25-039/III - Conditional Fat Tails and Scale Dynamics for Intraday Discrete Price Changes

  Authors: Daan Schoemaker, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; André Lucas, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Anne Opschoor, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: June 26, 2025

• 25-038/II - Efficient Information Aggregation: Optimal Structure of Signal Network

  Authors: Bernd Heidergott, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Frank den Hollander, Leiden University; Ines Lindner, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Azadeh Parvaneh, Leiden University

  Date: May 30, 2025

• 25-037/III - Measuring and Explaining the CDS-Bond Basis Term-Structure Shape and Dynamics

  Authors: Yonas Khanna, ING Bank; Andre Lucas, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Norman Seeger, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: May 30, 2025

• 25-036/III - Improving Score-Driven Density Forecasts with an Application to Implied Volatility Surface Dynamics

  Authors: Xia Zou, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Yicong Lin, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Andre Lucas, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: May 30, 2025

• 25-035/I - Economic preferences, personality, and voting

  Author: Thomas Buser, University of Amsterdam

  Date: May 16, 2025

• 25-034/III - Simulation Smoothing for State Space Models: An Extremum Monte Carlo Approach

  Author: Karim Moussa, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: May 16, 2025

• 25-033/VIII - Timing is Everything: Labor Market Winners and Losers during Boom-Bust Cycles

  Authors: Erik Katovich, University of Connecticut; Dominic Parker, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Steven Poelhekke, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: May 16, 2025

• 25-032/V - Gender and Performance in Collaboration: Evidence from Random Student Teams

  Authors: Max Coveney, Erasmus University Rotterdam; Pilar Garcia-Gomez, Erasmus University Rotterdam; Teresa Marreiros Bago d'Uva, Erasmus University Rotterdam

  Date: May 02, 2025

• 25-031/VIII - Going the distance? A meta-analysis of the deterring effect of distance in tourism

  Authors: Thomas de Graaff, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Elisa Panzera, Politecnico di Milano; Henri L.F. de Groot, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: April 25, 2025

• 25-030/VI - Sea Level Rise and Optimal Flood Protection under Uncertainty

  Authors: Taco Prins, University of Amsterdam; Frederick van der Ploeg, University of Amsterdam; Ton S. van den Bremer, University of Amsterdam

  Date: April 25, 2025

• 25-029/III - Clustering Extreme Value Indices in Large Panels

  Authors: Chenhui Wang, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Juan Juan Cai, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Yicong Lin, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Julia Schaumburg, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: April 25, 2025

• 25-027/III - Functional Location-Scale Models with Robust Observation-Driven Dynamics

  Authors: Yicong Lin, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Andre Lucas, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: April 17, 2025

• 25-026/III - Observation-Driven Hierarchical Density Models for Missing Data Imputation

  Authors: Yonas Khanna, ING Bank; Andre Lucas, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: April 11, 2025

• 25-025/III - Forecasting Atmospheric Ethane: Application to the Jungfraujoch Measurement Station

  Authors: Marina Friedrich, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Karim Moussa, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Yuliya Shapovalova, Radboud University Nijmegen; David van der Straten, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

  Date: April 11, 2025