• Graduate program
  • Research
  • Summer School
  • Events
    • Summer School
      • Applied Public Policy Evaluation
      • Economics of Blockchain and Digital Currencies
      • Economics of Climate Change
      • Foundations of Machine Learning with Applications in Python
      • From preference to choice: The Economic Theory of Decision-Making
      • Gender in Society
      • Business Data Science Summer School Program
    • Events Calendar
    • Events Archive
    • Tinbergen Institute Lectures
    • 16th Tinbergen Institute Annual Conference
    • Annual Tinbergen Institute Conference
  • News
  • Alumni
  • Magazine

Koopman, S., Lucas, A. and Scharth, M. (2015). Numerically Accelerated Importance Sampling for Nonlinear Non-Gaussian State Space Models Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 33(1):114--127.


  • Affiliated authors
    Siem Jan Koopman, Andre Lucas
  • Publication year
    2015
  • Journal
    Journal of Business and Economic Statistics

We propose a general likelihood evaluation method for nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models using the simulation-based method of efficient importance sampling. We minimize the simulation effort by replacing some key steps of the likelihood estimation procedure by numerical integration. We refer to this method as numerically accelerated importance sampling. We show that the likelihood function for models with a high-dimensional state vector and a low-dimensional signal can be evaluated more efficiently using the new method. We report many efficiency gains in an extensive Monte Carlo study as well as in an empirical application using a stochastic volatility model for U.S. stock returns with multiple volatility factors. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.