\De Vito\, A., Jacob, M., Schindler, D. and Xu, G. (2025). How do corporate tax hikes affect investment allocation within multinationals? Review of Finance, 29(2):531--565.
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Affiliated author
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Publication year2025
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JournalReview of Finance
This article studies how corporate tax hikes transmit across countries through multinationals{\textquoteright} internal networks of subsidiaries. We build a parsimonious multicountry model to highlight two opposing spillover effects: while tax competition between countries generates positive investment spillover, intra-firm production linkages predict negative spillover. Using subsidiary-level data and exogenous corporate tax hikes, we find that local business units cut investment by 0.5 percent for a 1 percent increase in foreign corporate tax. This result highlights the importance of production linkages in propagating foreign tax shocks, as the supply-chain-induced negative spillover dominates the positive spillover effect suggested by the conventional wisdom of tax competition.