09-061/4 - Forecast Accuracy and Economic Gains from Bayesian Model Averaging using Time Varying Weights
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AuthorsLennart Hoogerheide, Erasmus University Rotterdam; Richard Kleijn, PGGM, Zeist; Francesco Ravazzolo, Norges Bank; Herman K. van Dijk, Erasmus University Rotterdam; Marno Verbeek, Erasmus University Rotterdam
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Publication dateJuly 16, 2009
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Keywordsforecast combination, Bayesian model averaging, time varying model weights, portfolio optimization, business cycle
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JELC11, C15, C22, C53, G11