09-061/4 - Forecast Accuracy and Economic Gains from Bayesian Model Averaging using Time Varying Weights


  • Authors
    Lennart Hoogerheide, Erasmus University Rotterdam; Richard Kleijn, PGGM, Zeist; Francesco Ravazzolo, Norges Bank; Herman K. van Dijk, Erasmus University Rotterdam; Marno Verbeek, Erasmus University Rotterdam
  • Publication date
    July 16, 2009
  • Keywords
    forecast combination, Bayesian model averaging, time varying model weights, portfolio optimization, business cycle
  • JEL
    C11, C15, C22, C53, G11