17-062/III - Forecasting Football Match Results in National League Competitions Using Score-Driven Time Series Models

• Authors
  Siem Jan (S.J.) Koopman, VU Amsterdam, The Netherlands; CREATES, Aarhus University, Denmark; Tinbergen Institute, The Netherlands; Rutger Lit, VU Amsterdam, The Netherlands
• Publication date
  July 5, 2017

• Keywords
  Football, Forecasting, Score-driven models, Bivariate Poisson, Skellam, Ordered probit, Probabilistic loss function
• JEL
  C32