14-092/IV - Score Driven exponentially Weighted Moving Average and Value-at-Risk Forecasting
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AuthorsAndré Lucas, VU University Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Xin Zhang, Sveriges Riksbank, Sweden
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Publication dateJuly 22, 2014
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Keywordsdynamic volatilities, time varying higher order moments, integrated generalized autoregressive score models, Exponential Weighted Moving Average (EWMA), Value-at-Risk (VaR)
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JELC51, C52, C53, G15