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Tol, R. (2014). Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the literature: A re-analysis Energy Policy, 73:701--705.


  • Journal
    Energy Policy

A claim has been that 97% of the scientific literature endorses anthropogenic climate change (Cook et al., 2013. Environ. Res. Lett. 8, 024024). This claim, frequently repeated in debates about climate policy, does not stand. A trend in composition is mistaken for a trend in endorsement. Reported results are inconsistent and biased. The sample is not representative and contains many irrelevant papers. Overall, data quality is low. Cook's validation test shows that the data are invalid. Data disclosure is incomplete so that key results cannot be reproduced or tested. {\textcopyright} 2014 Elsevier Ltd.