210 Key Publications

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  Lucas, A., Schwaab, B. and Zhang, X. (2014). Conditional euro area sovereign default risk Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 32(2):271--284.

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  Creal, D., Schwaab, B., Koopman, S. and Lucas, A. (2014). Observation Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk Review of Economics and Statistics, 96(5):898--915.

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  Mesters, G. and Koopman, S. (2014). Generalized Dynamic Panel Data Models with Random Effects for Cross-Section and Time Journal of Econometrics, 180(2):127--140.

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  Jungbacker, B., Koopman, S. and van der Wel, M. (2014). Smooth Dynamic Factor Analysis with Application to the U.S. Term Structure of Interest Rates Journal of Applied Econometrics, 29(1):65--90.

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  Dijk, D.van, Koopman, S., van der Wel, M. and Wright, J. (2014). Forecasting Interest Rates with Shifting Endpoints Journal of Applied Econometrics, 29(5):693--712.

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  Creal, D., Koopman, S. and Lucas, A. (2013). General Autoregressive Score Models with Applications Journal of Applied Econometrics, 28(5):777--795.

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  Bataa, E., Osborn, D., Sensier, M. and van Dijk, D. (2013). Structural breaks in the international dynamics of inflation Review of Economics and Statistics, 95(2):646--659.

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  de Haan, L., de Vries, C. and Zhou, C. (2013). The number of active bidders in internet auctions Journal of Economic Theory, 148(4):1726--1736.

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  Groen, J.(., Paap, R. and Ravazzolo, F. (2013). Real-time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 31(1):29--44.

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  Pesaran, M., Pick, A. and Pranovich, M. (2013). Optimal Forecasts in the Presence of Structural Breaks Journal of Econometrics, 177(2):134--152.

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  Guggenberger, P., Kleibergen, F., Mavroeidis, S. and Chen, L. (2012). On the asymptotic sizes of subset Anderson-Rubin and Lagrange multiplier tests in linear instrumental variables regression Econometrica, 80(6):2649--2666.

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  Boswijk, H. and Klaassen, F. (2012). Why frequency matters for unit root testing in financial time series Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 30(3):351--357.

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  Koopman, S., Lucas, A. and Schwaab, B. (2012). Dynamic Factor Models With Macro, Frailty and Industry Effects for U.S. Default Counts: The Credit Crisis of 2008 Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 30(4):521--532.

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  Fok, D., Paap, R. and van Dijk, A. (2010). A Rank-Ordered Logit Model with Unobserved Heterogeneity in Ranking Capabilities Journal of Applied Econometrics, 27(5):831--846.

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  Geweke, J., Koop, G. and Paap, R. (2012). Editorial Introduction for the Annals Issue of the Journal of Econometrics on Bayesian Models, Methods and Applications Journal of Econometrics, 171(2):99--100.

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  Koopman, S., Lucas, A. and Schwaab, B. (2011). Modeling frailty correlated defaults using many macroeconomic covariates Journal of Econometrics, 162(2):312--325.

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  Creal, D., Koopman, S. and Lucas, A. (2011). A dynamic multivariate heavy-tailed model for time-varying volatilities and correlations Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 29(4):552--563.

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  Boswijk, H. and van der Weide, R. (2011). Method of moments estimation of GO-GARCH models Journal of Econometrics, 163(1):118--126.

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  Beauchamp, JonathanP., Cesarini, D., Johannesson, M., Van Der Loos, MatthijsjH.M., Koellinger, PhilippD., Patrick, J.F.Groenen, Fowler, JamesH., Rosenquist, J.Niels, Thurik, A.Roy and Christakis, NicholasA. (2011). Molecular genetics and economics Journal of Economic Perspectives, 25(4):57--82.

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  Diks, C., Panchenko, V. and van Dijk, D. (2011). Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Comparing Density Forecast in Tails Journal of Econometrics, 163(2):215--230.