198 Key Publications

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  Kole, E. and van Dijk, D. (2017). How to identify and forecast bull and bear markets? Journal of Applied Econometrics, 32(1):120--139.

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  Opschoor, A., Van Dijk, D. and van der Wel, M. (2017). Combining density forecasts using focused scoring rules Journal of Applied Econometrics, 32(7):1298--1313.

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  Boswijk, H., Cavaliere, G., Rahbek, A. and Taylor, A. (2016). Inference on co-integration parameters in heteroskedastic vector autoregressions Journal of Econometrics, 192(1):64--85.

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  Blasques, F., Koopman, S., Lucas, A. and Schaumburg, J. (2016). Spillover dynamics for systemic risk measurement using spatial financial time series models Journal of Econometrics, 195(2):211--223.

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  Francesco Ravazzolo (2016). Interconnections Between Eurozone and us Booms and Busts Using a Bayesian Panel Markov-Switching VAR Model Journal of Applied Econometrics.

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  Blasques Albergaria Amaral, F., Koopman, S., Mallee, M. and Zhang, Z. (2016). Weighted Maximum Likelihood for Dynamic Factor Analysis and Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data Journal of Econometrics, 193(2):405--417.

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  Christensen, B., Posch, O. and van der Wel, M. (2016). Estimating Dynamic Equilibrium Models using Macro and Financial Data Journal of Econometrics, 194(1):116--137.

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  van Dijk, D., Lumsdaine, R. and van der Wel, M. (2016). Market set-up in advance of Federal Reserve policy rate decisions Economic Journal, 126(592):618--653.

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  Boswijk, H., Jansson, M. and Nielsen, M. (2015). Improved likelihood ratio tests for cointegration rank in the VAR model Journal of Econometrics, 184(1):97--110.

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  Kleibergen, F. and Zhan, Z. (2015). Unexplained factors and their effects on second pass R-squared’s Journal of Econometrics, 189(1):101--116.

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  Kleibergen, F. and Mavroeidis, S. (2014). Identification issues in limited-information Bayesian analysis of structural macroeconomic models Journal of Applied Econometrics, 29(7):1183--1207.

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  Zu, Y. and Boswijk, H. (2014). Estimating spot volatility with high-frequency financial data Journal of Econometrics, 181(2):117--135.

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  Lucas, A., Schwaab, B. and Zhang, X. (2014). Conditional euro area sovereign default risk Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 32(2):271--284.

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  Dijk, D.van, Koopman, S., van der Wel, M. and Wright, J. (2014). Forecasting Interest Rates with Shifting Endpoints Journal of Applied Econometrics, 29(5):693--712.

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  Bataa, E., Osborn, D., Sensier, M. and van Dijk, D. (2013). Structural breaks in the international dynamics of inflation Review of Economics and Statistics, 95(2):646--659.

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  Bilio, M., Casarin, R., Ravazzolo, F. and van Dijk, H. (2013). Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering Journal of Econometrics, 177(2):213--232.

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  de Haan, L., de Vries, C. and Zhou, C. (2013). The number of active bidders in internet auctions Journal of Economic Theory, 148(4):1726--1736.

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  Groen, J.(., Paap, R. and Ravazzolo, F. (2013). Real-time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 31(1):29--44.

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  Pesaran, M., Pick, A. and Pranovich, M. (2013). Optimal Forecasts in the Presence of Structural Breaks Journal of Econometrics, 177(2):134--152.

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  Strachan, R. and van Dijk, H. (2013). Evidence on features of a dsge business cycle model from bayesian model averaging International Economic Review, 54(1):385--402.